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Man Charged In Two Saturday Morning Shots Fired Disturbances In Cottage Hill

FOR AN UPDATE TO THIS STORY, CLICK HERE.

A Cantonment man is facing multiple felony charges after two shots fired disturbances in Cottage Hill Saturday morning.

The Escambia County Sheriff’s Office responded to the 1800 block of Williams Ditch Road about 4 a.m. The victim reported that as he exited his vehicle someone driving a dark colored SUV fired two shots at him, according to Sgt. Melanie Peterson. She said the victim identified the gunman as 38-year old James Peter Tipton of Cantonment.

About 7 a.m. deputies responded to another shots fired disturbance a short distance away in the 1400 block of Highway 95A. Tipton’s uncle reported that Tipton drove into his yard, and the uncle observed Tipton removing guns from his SUV and placing them into the bed of the victim’s truck, Peterson said. The victim also stated that Tipton fired two shots from a rifle into the woods.

Tipton was taken into custody without incident. There were no injuries reported.

The complete list of charges against Tipton was not immediately available, but he is expected to be charged with aggravated assault with a deadly weapon, burglary and other felonies, Peterson said.

Photos courtesy WEAR 3 for NorthEscambia.com, click to enlarge.

Barry Makes Landfall As Hurricane

Barry made landfall as the first hurricane of the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season Saturday morning on the Louisiana coast.

Locally, we can still expect showers and thunderstorms, and a flash flood watch is in effect due to Barry. Here is your official North Escambia area forecast:

Tonight: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. Southeast wind around 10 mph.

Sunday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a high near 85. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Sunday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 74. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Monday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87. South wind 5 to 10 mph.

Monday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light in the evening.

Tuesday: A 20 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the morning.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 73. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

Wednesday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

Thursday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92.

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 74.

Friday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 92.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 75.

Saturday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 92.

Flash Flood Watch In Effect To Due Tropical Storm Barry (With Graphics, Local Forecast)

Tropical Storm Barry continues to move across the Gulf of Mexico toward a weekend landfall in Louisiana. For Escambia County, the biggest threats will be heavy rain of 4-7 inches with possible flooding, a high risk of risk currents and high surf of 5-8 feet.

There is a flash flood watch in effect until Sunday afternoon, and Escambia County has made free sand for sandbags available. For locations, click here.

Here is your official North Escambia area forecast:

Friday: Showers and thunderstorms. High near 85. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

Friday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy, with a low around 74. Southeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms. High near 84. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

Saturday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy, with a low around 73. Southeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Sunday: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy, with a high near 84. South wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Sunday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 73. South wind 5 to 10 mph.

Monday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 88. South wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Monday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light after midnight.

Tuesday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 89.

Tuesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74.

Wednesday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 91.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 75.

Thursday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 93.

Tropical Storm Barry Update

The disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico strengthened into Tropical Storm Barry on Thursday, moving toward a landfall in Louisiana this weekend. Further strengthening during the next 72 hours is forecast.

The latest information on Barry is in the graphics on this page.

The system is also expected to produce total additional rain accumulations of 6 to 12 inches near and inland of the central Gulf Coast through early next week, with isolated maximum rainfall amounts of 18 inches. Rainfall amounts exceeding 6 to 9 inches  occurred across portions of the New Orleans metropolitan area Wednesday, resulting in flooding.

LOCAL IMPACTS

A flash flood watch is in effect through Sunday for the North Escambia area. In Escambia County, we are expecting 3-5 inches. Depending on how rain bands set up during this event, we could see even higher amounts in rainbands that repeatedly move over the same areas. The bulk of the rain will begin overnight Thursday into early Friday and extend through the weekend. We can expect our usual afternoon showers and storms.

Coastal flooding is possible beginning Friday and continuing into Sunday, especially during high tide in the mid-morning hours. A coastal flood watch is in effect Friday through Sunday afternoon.

There is high risk of rip currents with high surf of 5-8 feet.

For the local weather forecast, click here.

Local Forecast: Flash Flood Watch

A flash flood watch is in effect through Sunday.

For more on the tropical system in the Gulf, including the storm track and wind forecast, click here.

Here is your official North Escambia area forecast:

Tonight: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. East wind around 10 mph.

Friday: Showers and thunderstorms. High near 85. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.

Friday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy, with a low around 75. Southeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms. High near 84. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

Saturday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy, with a low around 73. Southeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Sunday: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy, with a high near 84. South wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Sunday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 72. South wind 5 to 10 mph.

Monday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 88. South wind 5 to 15 mph.

Monday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light after midnight.

Tuesday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 90.

Tuesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74.

Wednesday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 92.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 75.

Thursday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 93.

The Blue Angels Air Show Schedule Remains Unchanged

The Blue Angels air shows are still on at Pensacola Beach Thursday through Sunday, despite rumors and erroneous information being shared on social media.

With a tropical weather system expected in the Gulf Of Mexico, the Blues say they will wait until the last minute to make any cancellation announcements.

“As of right now every show scheduled is still on track. We won’t cancel any part of the scheduled itinerary until the last possible moment, that way we don’t cancel Saturday’s flight and it ends up being a blue-skied sunny day,” MC2(SW) Christopher Gordon, Blue Angels Public Affairs, told NorthEscambia.com.  ”So as of right now every flight is still a go. We will be sure to update everyone as soon as we get the information.”

In order to fly, the Blue Angels need the wind to be under 25 knots (28.76 mph) and a visibility of at least three nautical miles (3.45 statute miles).  However, if air show organizers (the Santa Rosa Island Authority), cancel the show, the Blues can’t fly.

Here is the schedule, as it stands now, for the Blue Angels:

• Thursday: Practice over Pensacola Beach at 2 pm.
• Friday: Practice over Pensacola Beach 2 p.m.
• Saturday: Show time at 2 p.m.
• Sunday: Weather make-up day only. Flight time TBD.

NorthEscambia.com photo.

What Will This Gulf Storm Mean For Escambia County? Here Are The Details

As we continue to watch the development of what will become Tropical Storm and then likely Hurricane Barry over the Gulf, here are the complete details on the local impacts in North Escambia and surrounding areas, directly from our partners at the National Weather Service in Mobile:

LOCAL IMPACTS

• A flash flood watch is in effect through Sunday afternoon.
• Regardless of the eventual track and intensity of the system, our confidence is increasing in heavy rainfall later this week (especially along the coast).
• Rain will increase in coverage across the region through the week and weekend. The potential for heavy rain is trending higher with rainfall amounts of 5-7 inches possible mainly for southeast Mississippi and southwest Alabama (further north and east of there, expect a general 3-5″). Depending on how rain bands set up during this event, we could see even higher amounts in isolated areas. The bulk of the rain will begin overnight Thursday into early Friday and extend through the weekend. Expect our usual afternoon showers/storms beforehand.
• Potential for coastal flooding will depend on the movement and strengthening trend of the system. At this point, it is prudent to consider that minor coastal flooding (1-3 feet) is possible beginning Friday and continuing into Sunday. Depending on the track of the system, more significant coastal flooding may occur especially over coastal Alabama.
• High Rip Current Risk and increased surf is expected starting Thursday through at least the weekend for coastal Alabama and northwest Florida beaches.

THE SCIENCE

• A broad low pressure system located over the northeast Gulf of Mexico has become a little better defined this morning. The system is currently experiencing some northerly vertical wind shear, but the shear is expected to gradually subside over the next day. This system still has a HIGH CHANCE of becoming a tropical depression or storm by Thursday.
• Some erratic motion will be possible over the next 24 hours or until a well-defined center develops. That said, the general motion is expected to be toward the west-southwest or southwest. By Friday, it is forecast to turn toward the west-northwest and then turn northwestward by Saturday into a break in a deep-layer ridge (currently extending from the southeastern US westward across the southern Plains and into the Desert Southwest). The timing of the ridge breakdown owing to a shortwave trough moving southeast out of the northern Plains will be critical since a later/earlier turn by the cyclone would shift the track west/east of the current forecast.
• Only slow strengthening is expected for the next 24-36 hours due to the lack of a well-defined center and inner-core wind field, along with some modest northerly wind shear. By 48 hours and beyond, the combination of atmospheric and oceanic conditions become ideal for intensification.

WHAT IS A POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE?

• Potential Tropical Cyclone was a “new product” back in 2017. It allows the weather service to have the option to issue advisories/watches/warnings for disturbances that are not yet deemed a tropical depression or tropical storm (not fully formed), but which pose the threat of bringing tropical storm or hurricane conditions to land areas within 48 hours. These systems are known as Potential Tropical Cyclones in advisory products and are numbered from the same list as depressions. Because of the threat to the Gulf Coast, advisories have been initiated on Potential Tropical Cyclone #2 (further west of our area, toward Louisiana).
• Under previous longstanding NWS policy, it was not permitted  to issue a hurricane or tropical storm watch/warning until after formation of the tropical system. Advances in forecasting over the past decade now allow the confident prediction of tropical impacts while these systems are still in the developmental stage. For these land-threatening “potential tropical cyclones”, the National Hurricane Center can issue the full suite of text, graphical, and watch/warning products that previously has only been issued for ongoing tropical systems.

Gulf System Now Expected To Become A Hurricane

The National Hurricane Center is now issuing advisories on the system moving into the Gulf of Mexico. Winds are currently at 30 mph. The disturbance is forecast to become a tropical depression Thursday morning, Tropical Storm Barry Thursday night, and a hurricane on Friday.

READ: What Will This Gulf Storm Mean For Escambia County? Here Are The Details

A flash flood watch is in effect through Sunday afternoon.

In the Florida Panhandle, several inches of rain are forecast. There will be a high risk of rip currents in the Gulf, and some minor coastal flooding will be possible during the high tide periods mainly Friday and Saturday.

Forecasters are not expecting any significant wind threat locally; however, a few of the thunderstorms could contain some gusty winds. Securing light loose objects is never a bad safety precaution.

A tropical storm watch has been issued from the mouth of the Mississippi River to Morgan City, Louisiana. A storm surge watch is in effect from the mouth of the Pearl River to Morgan City, Louisiana.

Wet Period Begins As System Moves Into The Gulf

Forecasters are continuing to watch a system moving into the Gulf of Mexico. Conditions are favorable for this system to strengthen into a hurricane as it moves westward toward Louisiana through the end of the week. Click here for the latest tropical information.

A flash flood watch is in effect through Sunday afternoon.

Here is your official North Escambia area forecast:

Wednesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 92. Heat index values as high as 105. Northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Wednesday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. East wind around 5 mph.

Thursday: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Thursday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Southeast wind around 5 mph.

Friday: Showers and thunderstorms. High near 86. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Friday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph.

Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms. High near 84. South wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Saturday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 74. South wind 5 to 10 mph.

Sunday: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Sunday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 72.

Monday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 87.

Monday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73.

Tuesday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 89.

Rain Chances Increase As Tropical System Expected In The Gulf

The National Hurricane Center is continuing to monitor a potential Gulf of Mexico system. A tropical depression is expected to form by the end of the week from a broad area of low pressure moving slowly westward over the northern Gulf. Regardless of the eventually track and intensity of the system, it has the potential to produce heavy rainfall later this week.

At this time, it is too soon to determine the magnitude and intensity of any potential wind or storm surge impacts along the Gulf Coast.

Here is your official North Escambia area forecast:

Tuesday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 95. Heat index values as high as 107. Northwest wind around 5 mph. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Tuesday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.

Wednesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 93. Heat index values as high as 107. Northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Wednesday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm.

Thursday: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. East wind around 5 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Thursday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Southeast wind around 5 mph.

Friday: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Friday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. South wind 5 to 10 mph.

Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Saturday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73.

Sunday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 88.

Sunday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73.

Monday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 89.

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