Comments on: Category 4 Hurricane Delta Track Shifts Slightly Westward

By: Reader

Reader — Wed, 07 Oct 2020 03:07:10 +0000

“l. But Every single model including the euro models have this one making landfall west of the Louisiana mississippi line.”

And they did too with Sally. Nope.

By: Dee

Dee — Wed, 07 Oct 2020 02:16:44 +0000

I don’t want to give anyone false hope but I follow the models religiously for every hurricane and all models point to this storm going to Louisiana or Texas. Every single one. I’m not saying it’s a sure thing bc I can’t predict the future but hurricane sally was predicted ONLY by the European models 5 days out to hit exactly where it made landfall. But Every single model including the euro models have this one making landfall west of the Louisiana mississippi line.

By: alan

alan — Wed, 07 Oct 2020 01:26:32 +0000

All anyone can reasonably do is pay attention to the experts (they are NOT on the weather channel), realize they are making their best educated guess based on models and probabilities, make appropriate decisions for themselves and their families, and hope for the best.

And finally, if we are lucky enough to get out of this one, it might be nice if we all remember it could just of easily have been us, again, and think about those who weren’t so lucky and toss $5-10 to the Red Cross or other charity that helps people out in these storm.

By: No Excuses

No Excuses — Wed, 07 Oct 2020 01:09:52 +0000

@Brenda. I believe that was Elena.

By: Brenda

Brenda — Tue, 06 Oct 2020 23:35:53 +0000

I rember one year a hurricane could not make its mind up was coming backwards and forth come our way then went the other way came back here then went back the other way. U don’t rember how it did that. I think it made land fall in penesacola.

By: Citizen

Citizen — Tue, 06 Oct 2020 23:10:19 +0000

Don’t let the slight westward shift at the 4pm update make you think that we are in the clear, folks.

As soon as it reaches the upper level trough coming down through Texas, it will get pushed eastward. How far eastward no one knows.

But Sally was supposed to hit New Orleans and hit us, catching us all unprepared.

Ivan made landfall here, went all the up through North Carolina and looped out into the Atlantic, then crossed the Florida peninsula back into the Gulf, and threatened us a second time before it made a second landfall on the Texas Louisiana border.

Ivan got up to a Cat 5 and was a Cat 3 when it hit us.
If you were around for that, then you know how bad it can be.

These things are unpredictable. There’s a reason weather forecasts are wrong so often.

I hope it goes anywhere but here, but prepare for the worst and hope for the best.

Praying for everyone!

By: MJ Bonnette

MJ Bonnette — Tue, 06 Oct 2020 22:46:12 +0000

@Citizen

I’m glad you pointed that out in regards to @steve’s comment. I can remember very well a t.s. coming into Louisiana after what seemed to be an early fall had set in. We had a nice week of temps in the 70’s for highs and 50’s for lows which in September is very comfortable compared to what it can be like in Sept in the South as you all know. That year a low on the tail end of one of those strong fronts had started to develops and against the forecast of noaa it formed into a strong t.s. and slammed into Texas and la. Even tho we had cool temps in place.

There also are some studies that suggest the cooler air aloft in October actually helps the development and intensification of tropical systems. Here we go again six weeks after laura. Clean up crews haven’t even finished here yet and now this. Historic season

By: Mr. Rizzo

Mr. Rizzo — Tue, 06 Oct 2020 22:32:24 +0000

Dear 2020. You win. I quit. I throw Iin the towel. You have successfully driven me crazy. Now I am going to Baker Act myself. I can’t take anymore. Men in white, come take me to your padded van in a fully sleeved jacket. A human can only take so much.

By: M.j. Bonnette

M.j. Bonnette — Tue, 06 Oct 2020 22:21:50 +0000

This track has done shifted to the West. We here in central la. just got hit hard by hurricane laura and now this storm will track almost right over us!??!. Everyone here is in denial right now. Even our longtime meteorologist Tom Konvicka can’t believe this is gonna happen. Its not Sally then delta people….it’s laura then delta. Unbelievable year.

By: Citizen

Citizen — Tue, 06 Oct 2020 21:20:16 +0000

@Steve
You are incorrect, sir.

There’s a reason that October is historically one of the most active hurricane months and hurricane season extends until November 30th.

It’s because water has a high specific heat.
Which means that water heats up AND COOLS OFF much more slowly than air does – in other words, it “holds its heat”.

So while air temps are cooler, Gulf waters are still extremely warm – and it’s the warm water that fuels and feeds a hurricane, not the air.

@Kane
I couldn’t agree more.

If you are going to evacuate then don’t wait for Mr. Thomas to make school closures because we all know that he is reactive and not proactive.
So if you wait for him it will be too late and you will be stuck going nowhere on I-10 or Hwy 29 with no gas.